000
WTNT80 EGRR 020600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 02.09.2009

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN      ANALYSED POSITION : 18.4N 122.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142009

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.09.2009  18.4N 122.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 02.09.2009  18.6N 122.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.09.2009  18.6N 123.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.09.2009  18.2N 124.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.09.2009  17.4N 125.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.09.2009  16.6N 128.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.09.2009        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM ERIKA      ANALYSED POSITION : 17.3N  57.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062009

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.09.2009  17.3N  57.0W   MODERATE
 12UTC 02.09.2009  17.6N  58.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 03.09.2009  17.9N  59.9W   INTENSE       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.09.2009  18.2N  61.5W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 04.09.2009  18.6N  62.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.09.2009  19.0N  64.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.09.2009  19.7N  66.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.09.2009  20.5N  68.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.09.2009  21.6N  69.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.09.2009  22.3N  71.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.09.2009  23.1N  72.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.09.2009  24.1N  74.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.09.2009  25.3N  75.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             HURRICANE JIMENA     ANALYSED POSITION : 22.3N 111.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132009

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.09.2009  22.3N 111.2W    STRONG
 12UTC 02.09.2009  24.9N 111.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.09.2009  26.4N 111.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 03.09.2009  26.7N 111.5W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.09.2009  26.8N 111.6W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 04.09.2009       BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 14.3N  21.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 04.09.2009  14.3N  21.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 05.09.2009  14.3N  24.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.09.2009  16.2N  26.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.09.2009  16.8N  28.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.09.2009  17.4N  30.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.09.2009        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 020435