000
WTNT80 EGRR 150600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 15.08.2009

             HURRICANE GUILLERM   ANALYSED POSITION : 18.2N 129.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP102009

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.08.2009  18.2N 129.5W    STRONG
 12UTC 15.08.2009  19.0N 132.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.08.2009  19.6N 134.7W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 16.08.2009  20.5N 136.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.08.2009  21.9N 139.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.08.2009  23.4N 142.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.08.2009  24.5N 145.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.08.2009        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

     TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO        ANALYSED POSITION : 14.8N  45.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022009

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.08.2009  14.8N  45.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 15.08.2009  14.7N  48.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.08.2009  15.2N  51.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.08.2009  16.1N  54.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.08.2009  16.5N  60.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.08.2009  19.1N  64.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.08.2009     BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :
12.5N  29.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.08.2009  12.5N  29.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 15.08.2009  11.4N  33.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2009  11.3N  35.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.08.2009  11.5N  39.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.08.2009  12.6N  42.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.08.2009  13.1N  46.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.08.2009  14.8N  49.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.08.2009  15.6N  53.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.08.2009  16.3N  55.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.08.2009  17.1N  58.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.08.2009  17.8N  61.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.08.2009  18.4N  64.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.08.2009  19.3N  67.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 11.8N 139.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.08.2009  11.8N 139.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 16.08.2009  12.2N 141.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.08.2009  12.6N 141.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.08.2009  13.8N 141.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.08.2009  14.5N 142.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.08.2009  16.4N 143.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.08.2009  18.4N 145.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.08.2009    BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 150443