000
WTNT80 EGRR 100600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 10.08.2009

        TROPICAL STORM FELICIA    ANALYSED POSITION : 21.1N 147.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP082009

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.08.2009  21.1N 147.7W    STRONG
 12UTC 10.08.2009  21.0N 151.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 11.08.2009  20.9N 153.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.08.2009  20.4N 155.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.08.2009  20.0N 158.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.08.2009        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE       ANALYSED POSITION : 14.5N 120.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092009

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.08.2009  14.5N 120.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 10.08.2009  15.3N 122.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.08.2009  15.9N 125.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.08.2009  16.9N 125.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.08.2009  16.4N 129.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.08.2009  16.5N 130.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2009  16.9N 133.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.08.2009        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 10.5N 103.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 10.08.2009  10.5N 103.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 11.08.2009  11.1N 106.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.08.2009  11.8N 110.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.08.2009  13.0N 113.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.08.2009  13.9N 115.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2009  15.0N 117.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2009  14.6N 120.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2009  15.4N 123.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2009        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 13.5N  31.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.08.2009  13.5N  31.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 12.08.2009  13.2N  33.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2009  13.3N  34.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2009  13.2N  35.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2009  13.7N  37.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2009  14.3N  39.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2009  16.4N  42.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.08.2009  17.8N  46.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.08.2009  17.9N  50.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 100513