000
WTNT80 EGRR 210600

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 21.07.2009

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :
7.9N  89.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 21.07.2009   7.9N  89.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 21.07.2009   6.8N  91.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.07.2009   7.9N  87.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.07.2009   6.6N  88.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.07.2009   9.0N  89.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.07.2009   9.6N  91.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.07.2009   9.2N  95.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.07.2009  10.5N  98.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.07.2009  10.5N 100.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.07.2009  10.6N 104.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.07.2009  10.6N 105.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.07.2009  10.9N 109.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.07.2009        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 29.6N  78.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 24.07.2009  29.6N  78.9W     WEAK
 12UTC 24.07.2009  30.9N  77.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.07.2009  33.1N  77.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.07.2009  34.7N  76.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.07.2009  36.2N  74.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.07.2009  38.4N  73.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.07.2009  40.4N  71.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 210438