000 WHXX01 KMIA 151841 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1841 UTC WED JUL 15 2009 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DOLORES (EP052009) 20090715 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 090715 1800 090716 0600 090716 1800 090717 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 15.7N 116.1W 17.2N 118.6W 18.6N 121.5W 20.0N 124.3W BAMD 15.7N 116.1W 17.1N 118.3W 18.5N 120.7W 20.0N 123.3W BAMM 15.7N 116.1W 17.1N 118.4W 18.5N 121.0W 20.1N 123.7W LBAR 15.7N 116.1W 17.0N 118.4W 18.6N 121.5W 20.2N 125.0W SHIP 40KTS 43KTS 43KTS 38KTS DSHP 40KTS 43KTS 43KTS 38KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 090717 1800 090718 1800 090719 1800 090720 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 21.4N 127.0W 24.6N 132.3W 28.0N 136.6W 30.9N 139.0W BAMD 21.6N 125.8W 25.0N 129.8W 30.4N 131.6W 36.5N 129.3W BAMM 21.7N 126.5W 25.1N 131.4W 29.6N 134.3W 33.7N 133.4W LBAR 22.0N 128.4W 26.4N 132.6W 34.0N 131.9W 39.6N 123.7W SHIP 31KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS DSHP 31KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 15.7N LONCUR = 116.1W DIRCUR = 310DEG SPDCUR = 11KT LATM12 = 14.2N LONM12 = 114.4W DIRM12 = 311DEG SPDM12 = 11KT LATM24 = 13.0N LONM24 = 112.8W WNDCUR = 40KT RMAXWD = 35NM WNDM12 = 30KT CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 160NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 40NM $$ NNNN 000 WHXX01 KMIA 151841 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1841 UTC WED JUL 15 2009 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOS (EP042009) 20090715 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 090715 1800 090716 0600 090716 1800 090717 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 10.1N 130.4W 10.4N 133.0W 10.5N 135.9W 10.7N 138.9W BAMD 10.1N 130.4W 10.4N 132.0W 10.5N 133.6W 10.4N 135.5W BAMM 10.1N 130.4W 10.5N 132.2W 10.6N 134.1W 10.5N 136.2W LBAR 10.1N 130.4W 10.4N 131.9W 10.6N 133.9W 10.8N 136.1W SHIP 55KTS 38KTS 32KTS 31KTS DSHP 55KTS 38KTS 32KTS 31KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 090717 1800 090718 1800 090719 1800 090720 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 10.8N 142.0W 11.0N 148.9W 11.2N 156.1W 11.0N 163.4W BAMD 10.2N 137.6W 9.6N 142.3W 9.1N 147.7W 9.1N 153.3W BAMM 10.4N 138.5W 10.1N 143.5W 9.9N 149.1W 9.9N 154.9W LBAR 11.0N 138.6W 11.6N 144.0W 11.3N 149.9W 9.1N 155.8W SHIP 31KTS 34KTS 34KTS 38KTS DSHP 31KTS 34KTS 34KTS 38KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 10.1N LONCUR = 130.4W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 8KT LATM12 = 10.1N LONM12 = 128.8W DIRM12 = 276DEG SPDM12 = 5KT LATM24 = 10.0N LONM24 = 127.9W WNDCUR = 55KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 90KT CENPRS = 994MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 115NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 30NM RD34SE = 30NM RD34SW = 15NM RD34NW = 30NM $$ NNNN