000 WHXX01 KWBC 151852 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1852 UTC WED OCT 15 2008 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN (AL162008) 20081015 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 081015 1800 081016 0600 081016 1800 081017 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 15.6N 85.0W 15.4N 86.3W 15.1N 87.3W 15.0N 88.2W BAMD 15.6N 85.0W 15.2N 86.6W 14.9N 88.6W 14.8N 90.6W BAMM 15.6N 85.0W 15.2N 86.7W 14.8N 88.5W 14.6N 90.3W LBAR 15.6N 85.0W 15.5N 86.3W 16.1N 88.1W 17.0N 90.3W SHIP 30KTS 38KTS 45KTS 52KTS DSHP 30KTS 28KTS 27KTS 27KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 081017 1800 081018 1800 081019 1800 081020 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 15.2N 89.5W 14.8N 91.7W 13.2N 94.8W 12.0N 98.9W BAMD 15.0N 92.4W 15.2N 95.2W 15.0N 98.4W 15.5N 101.9W BAMM 14.7N 92.0W 14.7N 94.5W 13.9N 97.5W 13.6N 101.0W LBAR 18.1N 92.0W 20.3N 94.9W 21.5N 96.6W 22.8N 98.1W SHIP 57KTS 68KTS 70KTS 62KTS DSHP 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 15.6N LONCUR = 85.0W DIRCUR = 250DEG SPDCUR = 5KT LATM12 = 16.0N LONM12 = 83.9W DIRM12 = 263DEG SPDM12 = 4KT LATM24 = 15.9N LONM24 = 83.2W WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 75NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 275NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN