000 WHXX01 KWBC 150643 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0643 UTC WED OCT 15 2008 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE SIXTEEN (AL162008) 20081015 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 081015 0600 081015 1800 081016 0600 081016 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 16.0N 84.0W 16.3N 85.5W 16.1N 87.0W 15.9N 88.6W BAMD 16.0N 84.0W 15.9N 85.3W 15.7N 87.0W 15.6N 88.8W BAMM 16.0N 84.0W 16.0N 85.4W 15.7N 87.0W 15.6N 88.9W LBAR 16.0N 84.0W 16.1N 84.9W 16.4N 86.1W 17.1N 87.4W SHIP 25KTS 28KTS 34KTS 40KTS DSHP 25KTS 28KTS 34KTS 33KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 081017 0600 081018 0600 081019 0600 081020 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 15.5N 90.2W 14.7N 93.1W 13.4N 96.4W 12.9N 100.5W BAMD 15.7N 90.8W 15.8N 94.2W 15.4N 97.1W 15.2N 100.4W BAMM 15.5N 90.8W 15.4N 94.1W 14.8N 97.3W 14.4N 100.8W LBAR 18.0N 89.1W 20.1N 91.3W 21.2N 92.4W 22.4N 93.3W SHIP 47KTS 57KTS 64KTS 61KTS DSHP 32KTS 27KTS 33KTS 31KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 16.0N LONCUR = 84.0W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR = 4KT LATM12 = 15.9N LONM12 = 83.2W DIRM12 = 303DEG SPDM12 = 5KT LATM24 = 15.0N LONM24 = 82.5W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN