000 WTNT80 EGRR 090451 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 09.10.2008 HURRICANE NORBERT ANALYSED POSITION : 16.8N 111.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152008 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.10.2008 16.8N 111.6W STRONG 12UTC 09.10.2008 17.7N 113.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.10.2008 18.5N 113.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.10.2008 19.8N 114.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2008 22.0N 113.9W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2008 23.7N 112.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2008 23.5N 111.0W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 12.10.2008 26.2N 110.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 13.10.2008 27.1N 110.0W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 13.10.2008 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E ANALYSED POSITION : 12.1N 91.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162008 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.10.2008 12.1N 91.4W WEAK 12UTC 09.10.2008 12.9N 93.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.10.2008 12.9N 95.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 10.10.2008 13.7N 95.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2008 14.8N 95.9W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 11.10.2008 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 11.4N 35.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 11.10.2008 11.4N 35.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2008 12.6N 37.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2008 12.6N 39.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2008 13.6N 40.2W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2008 15.0N 41.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.10.2008 15.6N 42.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2008 16.4N 43.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2008 17.4N 44.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2008 18.6N 45.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 090451