000
WHXX01 KMIA 030056
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0056 UTC FRI OCT 3 2008
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP912008) 20081003 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        081003  0000   081003  1200   081004  0000   081004  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.1N  99.5W   14.8N 100.2W   15.3N 101.0W   15.5N 102.1W
BAMD    14.1N  99.5W   14.7N 100.2W   15.4N 101.0W   16.0N 101.8W
BAMM    14.1N  99.5W   14.8N  99.9W   15.4N 100.4W   15.7N 101.3W
LBAR    14.1N  99.5W   14.9N  99.7W   16.1N  99.9W   17.1N 100.2W
SHIP        30KTS          36KTS          45KTS          54KTS
DSHP        30KTS          36KTS          45KTS          54KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        081005  0000   081006  0000   081007  0000   081008  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.7N 103.7W   15.7N 107.2W   14.7N 109.5W   13.2N 110.8W
BAMD    16.7N 103.0W   18.0N 105.9W   19.1N 109.2W   19.5N 112.6W
BAMM    16.2N 102.8W   17.0N 106.5W   16.9N 110.3W   15.9N 113.9W
LBAR    18.5N 100.6W   22.9N 100.6W   29.5N  96.3W   38.5N  86.2W
SHIP        61KTS          70KTS          72KTS          70KTS
DSHP        61KTS          70KTS          72KTS          70KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.1N LONCUR =  99.5W DIRCUR = 320DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  13.0N LONM12 =  98.5W DIRM12 = 334DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  12.8N LONM24 =  98.5W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   45NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
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