000
WTNT80 EGRR 020506

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 02.10.2008

        TROPICAL STORM MARIE      ANALYSED POSITION : 17.5N 118.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.10.2008  17.5N 118.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 02.10.2008  17.7N 121.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.10.2008  17.7N 124.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.10.2008  17.1N 125.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 04.10.2008  16.6N 126.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.10.2008  16.6N 127.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2008  16.3N 129.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.10.2008  16.3N 130.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.10.2008  16.7N 132.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2008  16.7N 133.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.10.2008  16.2N 135.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.10.2008  16.0N 136.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.10.2008  16.2N 136.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :
12.7N  98.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.10.2008  12.7N  98.3W   MODERATE
 12UTC 02.10.2008  12.9N  98.6W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 03.10.2008  12.3N  99.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.10.2008  12.1N  98.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.10.2008  12.8N  98.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.10.2008  12.0N  96.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2008  12.3N  95.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2008  11.9N  95.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.10.2008  12.2N  95.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.10.2008  12.2N  94.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.10.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

 
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 020506