000
WTNT80 EGRR 010443

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 01.10.2008

        TROPICAL STORM LAURA      ANALYSED POSITION : 42.2N  48.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 01.10.2008  42.2N  48.2W    STRONG
 12UTC 01.10.2008  45.3N  47.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 02.10.2008 EXTRA-TROPICAL

      TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :
15.6N 114.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 01.10.2008  15.6N 114.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 01.10.2008  15.9N 116.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 02.10.2008  17.4N 116.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.10.2008  17.4N 118.9W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 03.10.2008  18.1N 119.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.10.2008  17.9N 119.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.10.2008  19.2N 120.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.10.2008  19.5N 120.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 05.10.2008  19.8N 120.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.10.2008  20.0N 120.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.10.2008  20.1N 120.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.10.2008  19.7N 120.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.10.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 010443