000 WTNT80 EGRR 301738 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 30.09.2008 TROPICAL STORM LAURA ANALYSED POSITION : 41.4N 48.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122008 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 30.09.2008 41.4N 48.8W STRONG 00UTC 01.10.2008 42.9N 48.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.10.2008 45.6N 47.4W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 02.10.2008 49.0N 46.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.10.2008 52.7N 45.2W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.10.2008 54.6N 41.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.10.2008 EXTRA-TROPICAL NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 15.2N 114.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 01.10.2008 15.2N 114.5W WEAK 12UTC 01.10.2008 16.0N 116.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 02.10.2008 16.6N 116.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.10.2008 17.8N 118.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.10.2008 17.8N 119.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.10.2008 17.5N 120.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.10.2008 19.4N 120.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.10.2008 20.8N 120.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2008 21.5N 120.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.10.2008 20.1N 122.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.10.2008 20.4N 122.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.10.2008 20.1N 123.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 301738