000
WTNT80 EGRR 231710

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 23.08.2008

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E   ANALYSED POSITION : 19.6N 108.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP112008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.08.2008  19.0N 108.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 24.08.2008  18.6N 109.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 24.08.2008  20.4N 110.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.08.2008  21.3N 111.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.08.2008  23.2N 112.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.08.2008  24.2N 112.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.08.2008  25.4N 112.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.08.2008  26.1N 113.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.08.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM FAY        ANALYSED POSITION : 30.8N  85.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 23.08.2008  30.8N  85.2W   MODERATE
 00UTC 24.08.2008  30.9N  86.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.08.2008  31.6N  89.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.08.2008  31.7N  90.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.08.2008  30.5N  92.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 26.08.2008  30.5N  90.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.08.2008  32.1N  89.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.08.2008  32.8N  88.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.08.2008  33.6N  86.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 28.08.2008  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             
             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 11.5N  32.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 26.08.2008  11.5N  32.4W     WEAK
 12UTC 26.08.2008  12.5N  31.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.08.2008  15.1N  29.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.08.2008  16.3N  30.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.08.2008  18.6N  31.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.08.2008  20.2N  34.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.08.2008  21.4N  37.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 29.08.2008  23.1N  40.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 231710