000
WTNT80 EGRR 230552

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 23.08.2008

        TROPICAL STORM FAY        ANALYSED POSITION : 30.3N  83.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 23.08.2008  29.6N  83.7W   MODERATE
 12UTC 23.08.2008  30.1N  84.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.08.2008  30.3N  86.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.08.2008  30.8N  88.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.08.2008  30.6N  89.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.08.2008  30.2N  90.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.08.2008  30.2N  90.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 26.08.2008  31.1N  89.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.08.2008  31.9N  88.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 27.08.2008  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 12.3N 125.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 24.08.2008  12.3N 125.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 24.08.2008  13.3N 124.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.08.2008  13.7N 124.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.08.2008  14.1N 124.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.08.2008  14.8N 123.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.08.2008  15.5N 122.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.08.2008  15.3N 121.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.08.2008  15.3N 121.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 28.08.2008  15.9N 121.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 28.08.2008  15.9N 120.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 29.08.2008  16.3N 120.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 230552