000
WTNT80 EGRR 181719

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 18.08.2008

        TROPICAL STORM FAY        ANALYSED POSITION : 23.5N  81.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 18.08.2008  23.5N  81.3W   MODERATE
 00UTC 19.08.2008  24.9N  81.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 19.08.2008  26.1N  81.4W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 20.08.2008  27.3N  81.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.08.2008  28.7N  80.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.08.2008  29.2N  81.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.08.2008  29.5N  81.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.08.2008  29.5N  82.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.08.2008  29.3N  84.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.08.2008  29.7N  84.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.08.2008  29.9N  85.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.08.2008  29.5N  86.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.08.2008  29.6N  88.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

  
    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :
11.9N 118.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 18.08.2008  11.9N 118.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 19.08.2008  12.2N 115.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.08.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 181719