000
WTNT80 EGRR 171654

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 17.08.2008

        TROPICAL STORM FAY        ANALYSED POSITION : 20.1N  77.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.08.2008  20.1N  77.7W   MODERATE
 00UTC 18.08.2008  21.3N  80.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.08.2008  22.6N  82.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 19.08.2008  23.4N  83.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.08.2008  24.6N  83.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.08.2008  25.8N  83.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.08.2008  27.1N  83.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.08.2008  28.4N  83.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.08.2008  29.5N  83.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.08.2008  30.9N  84.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.08.2008  32.1N  84.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.08.2008  32.5N  84.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 23.08.2008  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH.

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :
19.0N 113.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 17.08.2008  19.0N 113.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 18.08.2008  18.6N 114.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.08.2008  19.4N 115.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.08.2008  19.8N 116.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.08.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

  
 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 171654