000
WTNT80 EGRR 130453

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 13.08.2008

        TROPICAL STORM HERNAN     ANALYSED POSITION : 18.2N 134.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.08.2008  18.2N 134.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 13.08.2008  18.2N 135.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.08.2008  17.3N 137.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.08.2008  16.7N 138.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2008  16.3N 140.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.08.2008  15.5N 142.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2008  15.2N 144.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.08.2008  15.1N 146.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.08.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKA       ANALYSED POSITION : 11.1N 174.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.08.2008  11.1N 174.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 13.08.2008  11.0N 177.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.08.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

 

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 13.0N 119.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 13.08.2008  13.0N 119.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 14.08.2008  12.4N 120.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2008  12.9N 120.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.08.2008  13.0N 121.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.08.2008  13.6N 121.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.08.2008  14.7N 120.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.08.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 :  9.9N  15.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 14.08.2008  11.3N  15.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 14.08.2008  11.3N  17.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.08.2008  12.4N  21.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.08.2008  12.7N  22.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.08.2008  13.3N  24.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.08.2008  14.1N  26.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.08.2008  14.7N  29.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.08.2008  14.2N  34.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.08.2008  15.2N  36.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.08.2008  15.3N  39.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.08.2008  15.8N  42.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 130453