000
WTNT80 EGRR 090512

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 09.08.2008

             HURRICANE HERNAN     ANALYSED POSITION : 14.8N 121.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 09.08.2008  14.8N 121.3W    STRONG
 12UTC 09.08.2008  15.6N 123.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.08.2008  16.3N 125.8W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.08.2008  17.1N 128.1W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.08.2008  17.8N 130.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.08.2008  17.8N 132.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.08.2008  18.6N 133.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.08.2008  18.5N 133.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2008  18.0N 134.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.08.2008  16.8N 134.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.08.2008  15.5N 135.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.08.2008  14.8N 135.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2008  14.4N 136.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKA       ANALYSED POSITION :  9.5N 155.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 09.08.2008   9.5N 155.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 09.08.2008   9.6N 157.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.08.2008   9.9N 160.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.08.2008  10.2N 162.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.08.2008  10.7N 165.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.08.2008  11.5N 168.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.08.2008  12.1N 171.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.08.2008  12.6N 174.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.08.2008  13.2N 177.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.08.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 12.1N  20.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.08.2008  12.1N  20.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 11.08.2008  12.3N  23.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.08.2008  13.5N  23.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.08.2008  14.6N  27.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2008  14.6N  29.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.08.2008  14.8N  31.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.08.2008  14.9N  32.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.08.2008  15.3N  33.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.08.2008  15.7N  35.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 090512