000
WTNT80 EGRR 071719

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 07.08.2008

        TROPICAL STORM HERNAN     ANALYSED POSITION : 14.5N 115.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP092008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.08.2008  14.5N 115.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 08.08.2008  15.2N 117.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 08.08.2008  16.0N 120.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 09.08.2008  16.6N 122.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.08.2008  17.3N 124.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.08.2008  18.5N 126.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.08.2008  19.2N 128.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.08.2008  19.7N 130.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.08.2008  20.4N 130.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.08.2008  20.4N 132.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.08.2008  19.8N 132.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.08.2008  19.3N 132.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.08.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

        TROPICAL STORM KIKA       ANALYSED POSITION : 10.6N 147.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.08.2008  10.6N 147.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 08.08.2008  10.9N 150.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 08.08.2008  11.1N 152.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.08.2008  11.7N 153.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.08.2008  11.4N 156.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.08.2008  11.8N 159.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.08.2008  12.6N 161.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.08.2008  13.2N 164.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.08.2008  13.7N 167.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.08.2008  14.4N 170.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.08.2008  15.2N 172.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.08.2008  15.9N 174.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.08.2008  16.6N 177.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 10.3N 136.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 09.08.2008  10.3N 136.9W     WEAK
 00UTC 10.08.2008  12.2N 136.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.08.2008  11.1N 138.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.08.2008  12.7N 138.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.08.2008  13.7N 139.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.08.2008  14.9N 139.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.08.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 071719