000
WTNT80 EGRR 200610

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 20.07.2008

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELIDA      ANALYSED POSITION : 17.4N 134.1W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 20.07.2008  17.4N 134.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 20.07.2008  17.3N 136.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.07.2008  16.7N 139.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.07.2008     BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE BERTHA     ANALYSED POSITION : 45.9N  42.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 20.07.2008  45.9N  42.6W    STRONG
 12UTC 20.07.2008  49.9N  37.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.07.2008 EXTRA-TROPICAL

        TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBA   ANALYSED POSITION : 32.9N  77.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL032008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 20.07.2008  32.9N  77.5W   MODERATE
 12UTC 20.07.2008  33.6N  76.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.07.2008     BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE FAUSTO     ANALYSED POSITION : 15.6N 110.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 20.07.2008  15.6N 110.5W    STRONG
 12UTC 20.07.2008  17.1N 112.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.07.2008  18.3N 114.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.07.2008  19.2N 117.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.07.2008  19.7N 119.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.07.2008  19.7N 121.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.07.2008  19.6N 123.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 23.07.2008  19.6N 125.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 24.07.2008  20.4N 127.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.07.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 12.6N  96.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 20.07.2008  12.6N  96.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 21.07.2008  12.4N  97.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.07.2008  12.1N  99.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.07.2008  11.9N 101.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 22.07.2008  12.2N 103.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 23.07.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 16.6N  20.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 22.07.2008  16.6N  20.3W   MODERATE   
 00UTC 23.07.2008  16.6N  22.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.07.2008  16.5N  27.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.07.2008  15.7N  29.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.07.2008  16.2N  32.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 25.07.2008  15.1N  35.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.07.2008  17.1N  38.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.07.2008  17.7N  41.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 200610