000 WTNT80 EGRR 170628 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC - CORRECTION GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 17.07.2008 TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO ANALYSED POSITION : 12.1N 101.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP072008 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 17.07.2008 12.1N 101.1W WEAK 12UTC 17.07.2008 12.1N 104.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 18.07.2008 12.7N 107.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.07.2008 13.0N 109.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.07.2008 13.3N 110.5W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 19.07.2008 13.4N 111.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.07.2008 14.1N 112.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 20.07.2008 14.7N 114.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 21.07.2008 14.7N 116.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.07.2008 15.2N 117.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 22.07.2008 16.2N 119.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 22.07.2008 17.2N 121.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.07.2008 17.5N 122.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ANALYSED POSITION : 35.8N 59.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022008 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 17.07.2008 35.8N 59.9W STRONG 12UTC 17.07.2008 34.0N 58.2W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.07.2008 33.3N 56.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.07.2008 34.2N 54.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.07.2008 35.8N 52.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.07.2008 37.0N 50.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.07.2008 37.8N 49.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 20.07.2008 38.7N 47.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 21.07.2008 44.6N 43.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.07.2008 EXTRA-TROPICAL HURRICANE ELIDA ANALYSED POSITION : 17.1N 118.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062008 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 17.07.2008 17.1N 118.2W STRONG 12UTC 17.07.2008 17.8N 121.2W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.07.2008 18.7N 124.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.07.2008 19.3N 127.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.07.2008 18.8N 130.1W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 12UTC 19.07.2008 18.9N 132.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.07.2008 18.6N 135.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 20.07.2008 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 10.6N 82.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.07.2008 10.6N 82.5W WEAK 00UTC 18.07.2008 9.4N 83.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.07.2008 9.9N 85.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.07.2008 9.0N 85.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.07.2008 9.3N 86.9W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.07.2008 10.9N 90.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 20.07.2008 11.5N 93.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 21.07.2008 11.4N 95.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 21.07.2008 12.3N 99.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 22.07.2008 11.3N 100.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 22.07.2008 11.8N 102.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 23.07.2008 12.3N 104.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS POSITION: FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 12.3N 61.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 17.07.2008 12.3N 61.0W WEAK 12UTC 17.07.2008 14.0N 64.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 18.07.2008 13.5N 67.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 18.07.2008 14.5N 70.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 19.07.2008 14.3N 74.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 19.07.2008 14.3N 78.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 20.07.2008 13.3N 81.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 20.07.2008 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 170628