000
WTNT80 EGRR 160506

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 16.07.2008

        TROPICAL STORM BERTHA     ANALYSED POSITION : 37.2N  62.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.07.2008  37.2N  62.0W    STRONG
 12UTC 16.07.2008  37.3N  62.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.07.2008  36.7N  61.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.07.2008  35.8N  61.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.07.2008  34.2N  60.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.07.2008  33.9N  57.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.07.2008  33.9N  55.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.07.2008  35.1N  52.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.07.2008  36.2N  49.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.07.2008  36.9N  48.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.07.2008  37.3N  46.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.07.2008  37.9N  45.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 22.07.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE ELIDA      ANALYSED POSITION : 16.3N 113.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.07.2008  16.3N 113.9W    STRONG
 12UTC 16.07.2008  16.0N 116.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.07.2008  16.6N 118.3W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.07.2008  17.4N 120.9W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 18.07.2008  17.9N 124.0W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 18.07.2008  18.2N 127.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.07.2008  18.2N 129.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.07.2008  18.0N 133.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.07.2008  17.6N 135.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY   
 12UTC 20.07.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 11.5N 107.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 18.07.2008  12.1N 107.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 19.07.2008  12.6N 108.8W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.07.2008  13.2N 110.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.07.2008  14.3N 111.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.07.2008  14.9N 112.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.07.2008  16.2N 114.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.07.2008  17.1N 116.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 22.07.2008  17.8N 118.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 160506