000
WTNT80 EGRR 151725

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC
 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.07.2008

        TROPICAL STORM BERTHA     ANALYSED POSITION : 35.0N  63.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.07.2008  35.0N  63.2W   MODERATE
 00UTC 16.07.2008  36.9N  62.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.07.2008  36.6N  61.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.07.2008  35.8N  60.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.07.2008  34.3N  59.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.07.2008  33.2N  58.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.07.2008  33.5N  55.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.07.2008  34.8N  53.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.07.2008  36.1N  51.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.07.2008  36.9N  50.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.07.2008  37.4N  48.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 21.07.2008  38.5N  46.0W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.07.2008  40.2N  43.5W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY

             HURRICANE ELIDA      ANALYSED POSITION : 16.3N 111.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.07.2008  16.3N 111.7W   MODERATE
 00UTC 16.07.2008  16.6N 113.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.07.2008  17.1N 116.3W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.07.2008  17.8N 119.0W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.07.2008  18.6N 122.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.07.2008  19.0N 125.2W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 18.07.2008  19.3N 128.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.07.2008  19.3N 130.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.07.2008  19.7N 133.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.07.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH
   
            
             
             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 10.0N  100.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.07.2008  10.0N 100.0W     WEAK
 00UTC 17.07.2008  11.0N 100.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.07.2008  11.5N 103.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.07.2008  12.4N 106.0W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.07.2008  13.4N 108.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.07.2008  14.3N 109.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.07.2008  13.3N 109.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.07.2008  13.6N 110.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.07.2008  15.6N 111.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.07.2008  16.6N 113.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 21.07.2008  17.3N 114.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 151725