000
WTNT80 EGRR 150524

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 15.07.2008

        TROPICAL STORM BERTHA     ANALYSED POSITION : 33.5N  63.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.07.2008  33.5N  63.8W    STRONG
 12UTC 15.07.2008  35.5N  63.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.07.2008  37.3N  62.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.07.2008  37.6N  61.7W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.07.2008  37.3N  61.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.07.2008  36.4N  62.1W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 18.07.2008  35.8N  62.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.07.2008  34.2N  61.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.07.2008  33.6N  58.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.07.2008  33.3N  55.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 20.07.2008  33.5N  52.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.07.2008  34.6N  50.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.07.2008  35.4N  48.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             HURRICANE ELIDA      ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N 109.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.07.2008  15.9N 109.9W   MODERATE
 12UTC 15.07.2008  15.9N 112.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.07.2008  16.4N 114.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.07.2008  17.1N 116.8W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.07.2008  17.7N 119.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.07.2008  18.1N 123.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.07.2008  18.3N 126.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.07.2008  18.6N 129.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.07.2008  18.6N 131.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.07.2008  19.0N 134.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.07.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

            NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 :  8.8N  94.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.07.2008   8.8N  94.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 16.07.2008   9.2N  97.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.07.2008  10.1N  99.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.07.2008  10.3N 102.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.07.2008  11.1N 105.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.07.2008  11.7N 107.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.07.2008  12.8N 108.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 19.07.2008  13.7N 109.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.07.2008  14.5N 111.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 20.07.2008  15.6N 112.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.07.2008  16.3N 114.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 150524