000
WTNT80 EGRR 121707

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 12.07.2008

             HURRICANE BERTHA     ANALYSED POSITION : 29.5N  62.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.07.2008  29.5N  62.8W    STRONG
 00UTC 13.07.2008  30.1N  62.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.07.2008  30.3N  63.0W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.07.2008  30.8N  63.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.07.2008  32.1N  63.4W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.07.2008  33.9N  63.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.07.2008  35.8N  62.7W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.07.2008  36.6N  61.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 16.07.2008  36.6N  60.7W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.07.2008  35.8N  59.6W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.07.2008  35.0N  57.7W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 18.07.2008  34.9N  55.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.07.2008  35.5N  54.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

        TROPICAL STORM ELIDA      ANALYSED POSITION : 12.1N  98.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP062008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.07.2008  12.1N  98.3W     WEAK
 00UTC 13.07.2008  13.9N  99.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 13.07.2008  15.3N 102.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 14.07.2008  16.6N 105.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.07.2008  17.1N 107.3W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.07.2008  17.7N 109.0W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 15.07.2008  17.9N 110.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.07.2008  18.1N 112.2W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 16.07.2008  18.2N 113.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.07.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 :  9.2N  89.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.07.2008   9.2N  89.6W     WEAK        
 12UTC 15.07.2008   9.5N  91.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.07.2008   9.7N  93.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 16.07.2008  10.6N  95.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.07.2008  11.4N  97.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 17.07.2008  12.5N  99.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 18.07.2008  13.7N 101.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.07.2008  14.5N 102.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 121707