000
WTNT80 EGRR 080541

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 08.07.2008

             HURRICANE BERTHA     ANALYSED POSITION : 20.7N  52.5W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.07.2008  20.7N  52.5W   MODERATE
 12UTC 08.07.2008  22.2N  53.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.07.2008  23.4N  55.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.07.2008  24.5N  57.0W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.07.2008  25.5N  57.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.07.2008  26.5N  58.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.07.2008  27.5N  58.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.07.2008  27.9N  58.6W    STRONG     WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 12.07.2008  28.8N  57.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.07.2008  29.1N  57.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.07.2008  29.8N  56.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.07.2008  30.9N  56.5W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.07.2008  32.1N  56.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

       
            NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 :  8.4N  91.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.07.2008   8.4N  91.8W     WEAK
 12UTC 10.07.2008   8.4N  92.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.07.2008   9.8N  94.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.07.2008  10.8N  94.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.07.2008  11.9N  96.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.07.2008  13.6N  98.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.07.2008  14.9N 100.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.07.2008  16.2N 103.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.07.2008  17.4N 104.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 080541