000
WTNT80 EGRR 071642

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 07.07.2008

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E     ANALYSED POSITION : 17.7N 102.4W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.07.2008  17.7N 102.4W   WEAK
 00UTC 08.07.2008  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             HURRICANE BERTHA     ANALYSED POSITION : 19.8N  50.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 07.07.2008  19.8N  50.9W   MODERATE
 00UTC 08.07.2008  20.4N  52.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.07.2008  21.1N  54.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.07.2008  21.9N  56.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.07.2008  22.7N  58.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 10.07.2008  23.9N  59.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2008  25.3N  61.7W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.07.2008  26.8N  62.0W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.07.2008  28.0N  62.6W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.07.2008  29.2N  62.2W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.07.2008  30.1N  62.0W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.07.2008  31.0N  61.1W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.07.2008  32.2N  60.4W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

  
             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 :  9.2N  91.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 09.07.2008   9.2N  91.3W     WEAK
 12UTC 09.07.2008   8.9N  91.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2008   8.6N  91.4W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.07.2008   9.9N  90.8W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 11.07.2008  10.5N  92.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 11.07.2008  12.6N  95.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.07.2008  13.6N  97.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 12.07.2008  14.5N  98.1W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 13.07.2008  16.0N  99.7W     WEAK    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.07.2008  16.7N 101.6W     WEAK   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

            
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 071642