000
WTNT80 EGRR 070552

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 07.07.2008

        TROPICAL STORM BERTHA     ANALYSED POSITION : 18.3N  47.6W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.07.2008  18.3N  47.6W   MODERATE
 12UTC 07.07.2008  19.9N  51.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.07.2008  20.3N  53.1W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.07.2008  21.0N  55.9W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 09.07.2008  21.5N  57.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.07.2008  22.3N  59.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2008  23.4N  61.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2008  24.9N  62.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2008  26.4N  63.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.07.2008  27.6N  63.7W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.07.2008  28.5N  63.3W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.07.2008  29.1N  63.7W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.07.2008  29.8N  63.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE       ANALYSED POSITION : 16.5N 103.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP052008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 07.07.2008  16.5N 103.2W   MODERATE
 12UTC 07.07.2008  17.5N 102.5W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 08.07.2008  18.0N 102.4W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 08.07.2008  15.9N  99.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.07.2008  10.3N  92.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.07.2008   8.1N  85.1W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 10.07.2008   8.4N  82.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2008  11.6N  73.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.07.2008  11.0N  70.7W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.07.2008  10.2N  70.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.07.2008  10.8N  71.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.07.2008  11.5N  73.6W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 13.07.2008  11.6N  74.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 10.3N  92.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 08.07.2008  10.3N  92.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 09.07.2008  10.3N  92.5W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 09.07.2008  10.3N  93.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2008  11.1N  94.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.07.2008  11.2N  96.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.07.2008  11.8N  98.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.07.2008  13.3N 101.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 12.07.2008  14.7N 104.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.07.2008  15.5N 107.2W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.07.2008  15.9N 109.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

             
 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 070552