000
WTNT80 EGRR 051731

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 05.07.2008

        TROPICAL STORM BERTHA     ANALYSED POSITION : 17.1N  36.3W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 05.07.2008  17.1N  36.3W   MODERATE
 00UTC 06.07.2008  17.0N  40.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.07.2008  17.4N  44.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.07.2008  18.1N  47.9W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.07.2008  18.5N  51.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 08.07.2008  18.3N  55.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.07.2008  18.9N  58.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.07.2008  19.2N  62.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.07.2008  19.6N  66.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2008  20.5N  68.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2008  21.9N  72.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 14.0N  99.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 06.07.2008  14.0N  99.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 07.07.2008  16.0N 100.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 07.07.2008  16.6N  99.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.07.2008  20.0N  96.8W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 08.07.2008  20.2N  96.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.07.2008  20.1N  97.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.07.2008  17.6N  94.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2008  11.2N  94.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 10.07.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 :  8.7N  89.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.07.2008   8.7N  89.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 08.07.2008   8.9N  89.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 09.07.2008   9.2N  90.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.07.2008  10.4N  92.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2008  11.1N  94.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 10.07.2008  11.5N  96.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 11.07.2008  12.6N  99.2W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 11.07.2008  14.0N 101.6W   INTENSE   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 051731