000
WTNT80 EGRR 050501

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 05.07.2008

        TROPICAL STORM BERTHA     ANALYSED POSITION : 16.2N  32.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL022008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.07.2008  16.2N  32.8W    STRONG
 12UTC 05.07.2008  16.7N  36.2W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 06.07.2008  16.7N  39.7W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.07.2008  16.3N  44.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 07.07.2008  16.7N  47.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 07.07.2008  17.1N  51.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.07.2008  17.4N  54.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 08.07.2008  17.8N  58.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 09.07.2008  17.2N  61.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 09.07.2008         BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 :  9.2N  89.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 08.07.2008   9.2N  89.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 08.07.2008   9.2N  90.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.07.2008   9.6N  90.8W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 09.07.2008  10.3N  92.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 10.07.2008  11.1N  94.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 10.07.2008  11.5N  96.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 11.07.2008  12.5N  98.6W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 050501