000
WTNT80 EGRR 011653

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 01.07.2008

             HURRICANE BORIS      ANALYSED POSITION : 14.7N 124.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP022008

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.07.2008  14.7N 124.7W    STRONG
 00UTC 02.07.2008  15.1N 126.7W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.07.2008  15.6N 128.5W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.07.2008  16.0N 129.8W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 03.07.2008  16.6N 131.2W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.07.2008  16.4N 132.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.07.2008  16.7N 133.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.07.2008  16.2N 135.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 05.07.2008  15.9N 136.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.07.2008  15.6N 139.1W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 06.07.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

    TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :
10.3N  16.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 01.07.2008  10.3N  16.1W     WEAK
 00UTC 02.07.2008  10.6N  18.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 02.07.2008  10.7N  21.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 03.07.2008  11.1N  22.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 03.07.2008  12.2N  25.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.07.2008  12.6N  28.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.07.2008  13.0N  30.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.07.2008  14.2N  32.3W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.07.2008  14.8N  35.3W   MODERATE    WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 06.07.2008     BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  24 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 16.2N 108.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 02.07.2008  16.2N 108.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 03.07.2008  16.6N 107.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.07.2008  17.4N 108.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.07.2008  19.2N 107.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.07.2008  19.4N 109.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.07.2008  21.1N 109.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.07.2008  21.6N 111.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.07.2008  22.0N 112.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.07.2008        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 011653