000 WHXX01 KWBC 290638 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0638 UTC MON OCT 29 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE NOEL (AL162007) 20071029 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 071029 0600 071029 1800 071030 0600 071030 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 17.2N 72.2W 19.2N 73.9W 20.6N 75.8W 21.4N 77.6W BAMD 17.2N 72.2W 18.9N 73.3W 20.4N 74.3W 21.6N 75.2W BAMM 17.2N 72.2W 19.1N 73.7W 20.5N 75.1W 21.4N 76.3W LBAR 17.2N 72.2W 18.4N 72.9W 20.1N 73.7W 21.9N 74.1W SHIP 45KTS 48KTS 54KTS 62KTS DSHP 45KTS 47KTS 53KTS 53KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 071031 0600 071101 0600 071102 0600 071103 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 21.5N 79.0W 21.7N 80.0W 21.9N 80.2W 22.1N 82.1W BAMD 22.6N 75.8W 26.0N 74.4W 30.7N 68.7W 33.9N 59.0W BAMM 22.1N 77.1W 24.2N 76.7W 26.5N 73.9W 27.2N 72.3W LBAR 23.2N 74.2W 24.9N 73.3W 26.5N 70.6W 28.4N 67.4W SHIP 67KTS 69KTS 57KTS 40KTS DSHP 58KTS 61KTS 49KTS 32KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 17.2N LONCUR = 72.2W DIRCUR = 330DEG SPDCUR = 4KT LATM12 = 16.6N LONM12 = 71.8W DIRM12 = 327DEG SPDM12 = 4KT LATM24 = 16.0N LONM24 = 71.4W WNDCUR = 45KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 50KT CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD = 175NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 100NM RD34SE = 60NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 60NM $$ NNNN