000 WHXX01 KMIA 180044 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0044 UTC THU OCT 18 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE KIKO (EP152007) 20071018 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 071018 0000 071018 1200 071019 0000 071019 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.7N 104.9W 15.5N 103.9W 16.4N 103.3W 17.0N 103.0W BAMD 14.7N 104.9W 15.5N 105.4W 16.3N 105.7W 16.9N 106.0W BAMM 14.7N 104.9W 15.8N 104.6W 16.8N 104.4W 17.4N 104.5W LBAR 14.7N 104.9W 15.5N 104.4W 16.5N 104.3W 17.5N 104.1W SHIP 35KTS 37KTS 42KTS 45KTS DSHP 35KTS 37KTS 42KTS 45KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 071020 0000 071021 0000 071022 0000 071023 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 17.4N 103.7W 18.5N 106.0W 19.1N 108.0W 18.9N 111.5W BAMD 17.5N 106.6W 19.2N 108.2W 20.7N 109.5W 21.8N 113.5W BAMM 17.9N 105.3W 19.5N 107.6W 20.2N 109.6W 20.1N 113.9W LBAR 18.5N 104.0W 21.7N 104.4W 25.7N 102.4W 30.2N 95.3W SHIP 52KTS 60KTS 63KTS 64KTS DSHP 52KTS 60KTS 63KTS 64KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 14.7N LONCUR = 104.9W DIRCUR = 70DEG SPDCUR = 7KT LATM12 = 14.4N LONM12 = 106.4W DIRM12 = 82DEG SPDM12 = 7KT LATM24 = 14.0N LONM24 = 107.6W WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 35KT CENPRS = 1000MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 75NM RD34SW = 90NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN