000
WHXX01 KMIA 160647
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0647 UTC TUE OCT 16 2007
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN (EP152007) 20071016 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        071016  0600   071016  1800   071017  0600   071017  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.4N 108.9W   14.5N 108.8W   14.8N 108.8W   15.2N 109.1W
BAMD    14.4N 108.9W   14.1N 110.0W   13.7N 111.1W   13.1N 112.1W
BAMM    14.4N 108.9W   14.4N 108.9W   14.5N 109.0W   14.8N 109.2W
LBAR    14.4N 108.9W   14.3N 109.3W   14.6N 110.1W   15.1N 111.3W
SHIP        30KTS          30KTS          33KTS          36KTS
DSHP        30KTS          30KTS          33KTS          36KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        071018  0600   071019  0600   071020  0600   071021  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.7N 109.5W   16.5N 110.8W   17.2N 112.7W   17.0N 114.8W
BAMD    13.0N 113.1W   13.6N 114.3W   14.1N 114.9W   13.6N 114.9W
BAMM    15.3N 109.7W   16.6N 111.0W   17.3N 112.9W   17.0N 114.6W
LBAR    15.6N 112.7W   17.3N 115.9W   19.0N 118.4W   20.9N 119.7W
SHIP        36KTS          37KTS          42KTS          43KTS
DSHP        36KTS          37KTS          42KTS          43KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.4N LONCUR = 108.9W DIRCUR = 180DEG SPDCUR =   2KT
LATM12 =  14.8N LONM12 = 108.9W DIRM12 = 180DEG SPDM12 =   2KT
LATM24 =  15.1N LONM24 = 108.8W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   50NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1002MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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