000
WTNT80 EGRR 160533

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 16.10.2007

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN    ANALYSED POSITION : 14.8N 109.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 16.10.2007  14.8N 109.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 16.10.2007  14.5N 109.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.10.2007  14.1N 108.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.10.2007  13.7N 107.8W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.10.2007  13.9N 107.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.10.2007  14.1N 105.9W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 19.10.2007  14.7N 104.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 19.10.2007  15.1N 103.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.10.2007  15.6N 103.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.10.2007  16.6N 102.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 21.10.2007  17.4N 102.4W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 21.10.2007  17.8N 102.2W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 22.10.2007  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

            


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 160533