000
WHXX01 KMIA 160054
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0054 UTC TUE OCT 16 2007
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN (EP152007) 20071016 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        071016  0000   071016  1200   071017  0000   071017  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.7N 109.0W   14.6N 108.8W   14.7N 108.8W   14.9N 108.8W
BAMD    14.7N 109.0W   14.4N 109.9W   14.0N 111.0W   13.4N 112.2W
BAMM    14.7N 109.0W   14.6N 109.3W   14.7N 109.8W   14.6N 110.2W
LBAR    14.7N 109.0W   14.4N 109.5W   14.8N 110.5W   15.0N 111.7W
SHIP        30KTS          31KTS          33KTS          36KTS
DSHP        30KTS          31KTS          33KTS          36KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        071018  0000   071019  0000   071020  0000   071021  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.3N 109.0W   16.0N 109.9W   16.5N 111.2W   16.5N 113.1W
BAMD    12.8N 113.3W   12.9N 114.6W   13.1N 115.2W   13.0N 115.4W
BAMM    14.7N 110.8W   15.5N 112.1W   16.0N 113.5W   16.3N 115.0W
LBAR    15.5N 113.0W   16.9N 116.2W   18.2N 119.4W   19.9N 122.0W
SHIP        38KTS          35KTS          38KTS          39KTS
DSHP        38KTS          35KTS          38KTS          39KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.7N LONCUR = 109.0W DIRCUR = 200DEG SPDCUR =   2KT
LATM12 =  15.0N LONM12 = 108.9W DIRM12 = 198DEG SPDM12 =   2KT
LATM24 =  15.0N LONM24 = 108.7W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   50NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1002MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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