000 WHXX01 KWBC 151849 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1849 UTC MON OCT 15 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL992007) 20071015 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 071015 1800 071016 0600 071016 1800 071017 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 21.1N 92.2W 22.3N 94.0W 23.5N 95.5W 24.6N 96.5W BAMD 21.1N 92.2W 22.1N 93.6W 22.8N 94.5W 24.0N 95.4W BAMM 21.1N 92.2W 22.5N 93.6W 23.5N 94.6W 25.0N 95.1W LBAR 21.1N 92.2W 22.8N 93.5W 24.7N 94.1W 27.2N 93.6W SHIP 20KTS 22KTS 26KTS 28KTS DSHP 20KTS 22KTS 26KTS 28KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 071017 1800 071018 1800 071019 1800 071020 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 26.3N 96.8W 30.4N 92.2W 36.5N 80.2W 44.4N 70.7W BAMD 26.4N 94.5W 32.6N 82.5W 36.9N 65.5W 35.5N 60.1W BAMM 27.3N 94.0W 32.3N 84.7W 38.1N 73.3W 47.8N 64.8W LBAR 30.0N 91.6W 36.7N 81.2W 39.7N 65.5W .0N .0W SHIP 30KTS 36KTS 37KTS 31KTS DSHP 30KTS 28KTS 31KTS 31KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 21.1N LONCUR = 92.2W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR = 15KT LATM12 = 19.9N LONM12 = 89.1W DIRM12 = 305DEG SPDM12 = 14KT LATM24 = 18.5N LONM24 = 87.0W WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 45NM WNDM12 = 20KT CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 125NM SDEPTH = S RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN