000 WHXX01 KWBC 151313 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1313 UTC MON OCT 15 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL992007) 20071015 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 071015 1200 071016 0000 071016 1200 071017 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 20.7N 90.7W 22.0N 92.8W 23.4N 94.3W 24.3N 95.4W BAMD 20.7N 90.7W 21.8N 92.4W 22.8N 93.2W 24.0N 93.7W BAMM 20.7N 90.7W 22.2N 92.6W 23.5N 93.5W 24.7N 93.9W LBAR 20.7N 90.7W 22.3N 92.5W 24.4N 93.3W 26.9N 93.0W SHIP 20KTS 22KTS 27KTS 33KTS DSHP 20KTS 22KTS 27KTS 33KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 071017 1200 071018 1200 071019 1200 071020 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 25.7N 95.8W 30.5N 91.5W 35.4N 81.2W 43.0N 73.7W BAMD 25.8N 92.9W 31.6N 84.7W 35.4N 70.7W 34.2N 61.7W BAMM 26.4N 93.2W 31.7N 86.1W 35.5N 75.0W 39.3N 67.2W LBAR 29.6N 91.4W 35.8N 82.8W 38.6N 66.5W .0N .0W SHIP 36KTS 41KTS 41KTS 35KTS DSHP 36KTS 32KTS 30KTS 25KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 20.7N LONCUR = 90.7W DIRCUR = 305DEG SPDCUR = 14KT LATM12 = 19.0N LONM12 = 88.0W DIRM12 = 305DEG SPDM12 = 11KT LATM24 = 18.3N LONM24 = 86.4W WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 45NM WNDM12 = 20KT CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 125NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN