000 WHXX01 KWBC 151300 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1300 UTC MON OCT 15 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL982007) 20071015 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 071015 1200 071016 0000 071016 1200 071017 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 13.6N 80.2W 14.5N 82.9W 15.6N 85.5W 16.9N 87.8W BAMD 13.6N 80.2W 13.2N 82.8W 13.1N 85.0W 13.2N 86.9W BAMM 13.6N 80.2W 14.0N 82.8W 14.6N 85.1W 15.4N 87.2W LBAR 13.6N 80.2W 13.9N 82.6W 14.9N 85.2W 16.4N 87.5W SHIP 20KTS 20KTS 20KTS 25KTS DSHP 20KTS 20KTS 23KTS 25KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 071017 1200 071018 1200 071019 1200 071020 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 18.0N 89.9W 20.3N 93.4W 20.9N 96.2W 20.1N 100.3W BAMD 13.7N 88.5W 14.7N 90.5W 15.7N 92.4W 17.0N 95.1W BAMM 16.2N 89.2W 18.0N 92.2W 18.5N 95.3W 17.9N 99.4W LBAR 18.1N 89.5W 21.4N 90.6W 23.9N 88.8W 26.6N 85.1W SHIP 31KTS 42KTS 54KTS 62KTS DSHP 28KTS 27KTS 31KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 13.6N LONCUR = 80.2W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 9KT LATM12 = 13.4N LONM12 = 78.5W DIRM12 = 276DEG SPDM12 = 9KT LATM24 = 13.3N LONM24 = 76.5W WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 20KT CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 175NM SDEPTH = S RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN