000 WHXX01 KMIA 150054 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0054 UTC MON OCT 15 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FIFTEEN (EP152007) 20071015 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 071015 0000 071015 1200 071016 0000 071016 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.9N 108.5W 15.2N 108.8W 15.4N 109.2W 15.5N 109.8W BAMD 14.9N 108.5W 15.1N 109.2W 15.1N 110.0W 15.0N 111.1W BAMM 14.9N 108.5W 15.2N 108.8W 15.3N 109.4W 15.3N 110.2W LBAR 14.9N 108.5W 15.1N 109.0W 15.5N 109.8W 15.8N 110.9W SHIP 30KTS 34KTS 40KTS 45KTS DSHP 30KTS 34KTS 40KTS 45KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 071017 0000 071018 0000 071019 0000 071020 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 15.7N 110.2W 15.9N 110.8W 16.5N 110.9W 17.6N 111.5W BAMD 14.8N 112.3W 14.2N 114.4W 14.1N 116.2W 14.3N 117.5W BAMM 15.4N 111.1W 15.2N 112.4W 15.5N 113.3W 16.3N 113.6W LBAR 16.1N 111.9W 17.1N 114.1W 18.0N 116.4W 19.2N 118.9W SHIP 50KTS 51KTS 48KTS 43KTS DSHP 50KTS 51KTS 48KTS 43KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 14.9N LONCUR = 108.5W DIRCUR = 310DEG SPDCUR = 2KT LATM12 = 14.7N LONM12 = 108.3W DIRM12 = 305DEG SPDM12 = 2KT LATM24 = 14.2N LONM24 = 107.5W WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1003MB OUTPRS = 1006MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN