000
WTNT80 EGRR 141643

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 14.10.2007

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 15.3N 108.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 15.10.2007  15.3N 108.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 15.10.2007  15.5N 108.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.10.2007  15.2N 107.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2007  15.3N 107.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.10.2007  15.7N 107.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE 
 12UTC 17.10.2007  16.0N 106.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 18.10.2007  16.2N 106.2W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 18.10.2007  16.4N 106.1W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 19.10.2007  16.6N 106.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 19.10.2007  17.1N 107.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 20.10.2007  17.8N 107.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 20.10.2007  18.3N 108.8W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

            
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 141643