000
WTNT80 EGRR 121654

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 12.10.2007

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN    ANALYSED POSITION : 30.3N  49.7W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152007

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 12.10.2007  30.3N  49.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 13.10.2007  30.5N  50.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.10.2007  31.4N  50.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.10.2007  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  12 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 16.8N  87.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 13.10.2007  16.8N  87.5W     WEAK
 12UTC 13.10.2007  17.3N  86.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 14.10.2007  18.0N  85.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.10.2007  18.4N  86.2W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.10.2007  19.0N  87.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.10.2007  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

      
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 121654