000
WHXX01 KWBC 041841
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1841 UTC THU OCT 4 2007
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE MELISSA (AL142007) 20071004 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        071004  1800   071005  0600   071005  1800   071006  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    23.2N  51.3W   24.2N  52.9W   24.9N  54.1W   25.1N  55.7W
BAMD    23.2N  51.3W   24.6N  51.1W   25.5N  49.8W   26.1N  48.1W
BAMM    23.2N  51.3W   24.3N  52.0W   24.9N  52.3W   24.9N  52.9W
LBAR    23.2N  51.3W   24.4N  51.4W   25.5N  50.8W   26.5N  49.1W
SHIP        25KTS          28KTS          33KTS          38KTS
DSHP        25KTS          28KTS          33KTS          38KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        071006  1800   071007  1800   071008  1800   071009  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    25.6N  57.7W   27.2N  60.7W   28.0N  61.5W   27.5N  61.7W
BAMD    26.3N  46.4W   27.9N  41.6W   29.9N  34.8W   30.2N  30.3W
BAMM    25.1N  54.0W   27.1N  54.7W   30.7N  46.5W   35.9N  36.8W
LBAR    27.2N  46.7W   28.7N  39.7W   29.6N  34.9W   33.2N  32.5W
SHIP        42KTS          45KTS          46KTS          45KTS
DSHP        42KTS          45KTS          46KTS          45KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  23.2N LONCUR =  51.3W DIRCUR = 310DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =  22.0N LONM12 =  49.8W DIRM12 = 294DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =  21.4N LONM24 =  47.5W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
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