000
WHXX01 KWBC 031833
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1833 UTC WED OCT 3 2007
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE MELISSA (AL142007) 20071003 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        071003  1800   071004  0600   071004  1800   071005  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    21.4N  47.2W   22.1N  48.6W   23.1N  50.2W   23.9N  51.5W
BAMD    21.4N  47.2W   23.0N  46.1W   24.7N  44.3W   26.4N  40.6W
BAMM    21.4N  47.2W   22.3N  47.4W   23.5N  47.6W   25.1N  47.1W
LBAR    21.4N  47.2W   22.6N  47.5W   23.8N  47.3W   24.7N  46.5W
SHIP        30KTS          34KTS          40KTS          44KTS
DSHP        30KTS          34KTS          40KTS          44KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        071005  1800   071006  1800   071007  1800   071008  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    24.7N  52.7W   25.5N  56.1W   27.7N  60.5W   29.6N  63.4W
BAMD    28.2N  34.8W   32.9N  21.1W   36.7N   5.5W   32.6N   8.6E
BAMM    26.3N  44.2W   27.2N  33.8W   30.0N  25.8W   32.0N  24.1W
LBAR    25.4N  44.5W   26.2N  36.9W   30.0N  28.6W   32.3N  25.3W
SHIP        46KTS          41KTS          35KTS          30KTS
DSHP        46KTS          41KTS          35KTS          30KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  21.4N LONCUR =  47.2W DIRCUR = 305DEG SPDCUR =  11KT
LATM12 =  20.1N LONM12 =  45.5W DIRM12 = 304DEG SPDM12 =  11KT
LATM24 =  18.9N LONM24 =  43.5W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
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