000
WTNT80 EGRR 030505

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 03.10.2007

       TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION :
25.5N  85.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 03.10.2007  25.5N  85.6W     WEAK
 12UTC 03.10.2007  25.0N  87.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.10.2007  25.6N  87.0W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 04.10.2007  25.7N  90.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.10.2007  27.4N  81.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.10.2007  28.5N  92.6W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.10.2007  BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH.

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 25.6N  46.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 05.10.2007  25.6N  46.1W     WEAK
 12UTC 05.10.2007  26.0N  45.1W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 06.10.2007  27.2N  40.3W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 06.10.2007  28.2N  36.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.10.2007  29.2N  33.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.10.2007  30.1N  30.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 08.10.2007  30.2N  27.9W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 08.10.2007  29.4N  27.2W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 09.10.2007  29.4N  26.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

  
 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT


 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 030505