000 WTNT80 EGRR 300541 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 30.09.2007 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN ANALYSED POSITION : 16.8N 54.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122007 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.09.2007 16.8N 54.7W WEAK 12UTC 30.09.2007 18.9N 55.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.10.2007 19.4N 56.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 01.10.2007 20.1N 58.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.10.2007 20.8N 59.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 02.10.2007 21.2N 60.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.10.2007 21.3N 60.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.10.2007 21.2N 61.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.10.2007 21.6N 61.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 04.10.2007 22.3N 61.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2007 22.3N 61.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.10.2007 22.3N 62.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.10.2007 22.0N 62.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE ANALYSED POSITION : 15.6N 112.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142007 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.09.2007 15.6N 112.3W WEAK 12UTC 30.09.2007 17.4N 112.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 01.10.2007 20.4N 112.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.10.2007 22.6N 113.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.10.2007 23.1N 113.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.10.2007 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM MELISSA ANALYSED POSITION : 16.3N 30.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142007 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 30.09.2007 16.3N 30.0W WEAK 12UTC 30.09.2007 15.6N 31.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 01.10.2007 17.4N 33.5W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 01.10.2007 19.2N 35.8W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 02.10.2007 20.0N 38.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 02.10.2007 21.8N 39.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 03.10.2007 23.8N 40.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 03.10.2007 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 23.4N 83.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 02.10.2007 23.4N 83.1W 12UTC 02.10.2007 22.4N 85.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 03.10.2007 23.7N 87.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 03.10.2007 23.1N 89.3W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.10.2007 22.0N 91.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.10.2007 22.0N 93.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.10.2007 23.4N 94.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.10.2007 24.6N 95.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 06.10.2007 26.7N 98.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 300541