000 WHXX01 KWBC 291832 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1832 UTC SAT SEP 29 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE KAREN (AL122007) 20070929 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070929 1800 070930 0600 070930 1800 071001 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 17.0N 54.0W 17.8N 56.1W 19.1N 57.9W 19.8N 59.2W BAMD 17.0N 54.0W 18.7N 53.7W 20.4N 53.8W 21.8N 54.5W BAMM 17.0N 54.0W 17.8N 55.1W 18.9N 56.0W 19.9N 57.0W LBAR 17.0N 54.0W 18.1N 54.7W 19.3N 55.7W 20.6N 56.4W SHIP 30KTS 27KTS 26KTS 28KTS DSHP 30KTS 27KTS 26KTS 28KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 071001 1800 071002 1800 071003 1800 071004 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 20.9N 60.6W 22.9N 62.9W 24.8N 64.3W 25.8N 64.5W BAMD 22.9N 55.6W 24.0N 58.5W 25.0N 61.2W 25.7N 61.7W BAMM 20.9N 58.1W 22.6N 60.6W 24.0N 63.0W 24.8N 64.1W LBAR 22.2N 57.2W 24.1N 58.4W 25.1N 59.0W 25.9N 59.5W SHIP 33KTS 38KTS 41KTS 43KTS DSHP 33KTS 38KTS 41KTS 43KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 17.0N LONCUR = 54.0W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR = 9KT LATM12 = 16.3N LONM12 = 52.5W DIRM12 = 285DEG SPDM12 = 10KT LATM24 = 15.8N LONM24 = 50.4W WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 35KT CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 220NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN