000 WHXX01 KWBC 290048 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0048 UTC SAT SEP 29 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE KAREN (AL122007) 20070929 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070929 0000 070929 1200 070930 0000 070930 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 16.0N 51.5W 16.9N 53.9W 18.1N 55.8W 19.3N 57.6W BAMD 16.0N 51.5W 17.5N 51.5W 19.1N 51.4W 20.8N 51.6W BAMM 16.0N 51.5W 17.0N 52.9W 18.2N 54.1W 19.4N 55.1W LBAR 16.0N 51.5W 17.1N 52.4W 18.2N 53.4W 19.7N 54.0W SHIP 35KTS 32KTS 30KTS 29KTS DSHP 35KTS 32KTS 30KTS 29KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 071001 0000 071002 0000 071003 0000 071004 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 20.5N 58.8W 22.4N 61.6W 23.9N 64.4W 24.7N 66.6W BAMD 22.4N 52.3W 24.7N 54.6W 25.1N 58.3W 24.5N 62.8W BAMM 20.7N 56.1W 22.7N 58.5W 23.9N 61.6W 24.6N 65.0W LBAR 21.0N 54.9W 23.1N 56.0W 23.9N 57.6W 23.2N 60.5W SHIP 31KTS 39KTS 42KTS 41KTS DSHP 31KTS 39KTS 42KTS 41KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 16.0N LONCUR = 51.5W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR = 8KT LATM12 = 14.6N LONM12 = 49.0W DIRM12 = 3DEG SPDM12 = 10KT LATM24 = 14.1N LONM24 = 48.8W WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 35KT CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 180NM RD34SE = 180NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN