000 WHXX01 KWBC 281831 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1831 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE KAREN (AL122007) 20070928 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070928 1800 070929 0600 070929 1800 070930 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 16.0N 49.3W 17.2N 51.8W 18.7N 54.0W 20.1N 55.7W BAMD 16.0N 49.3W 17.5N 49.9W 19.1N 50.3W 20.7N 50.7W BAMM 16.0N 49.3W 17.2N 50.7W 18.5N 51.9W 19.8N 52.8W LBAR 16.0N 49.3W 17.1N 49.6W 18.3N 50.3W 19.2N 50.9W SHIP 35KTS 31KTS 28KTS 26KTS DSHP 35KTS 31KTS 28KTS 26KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070930 1800 071001 1800 071002 1800 071003 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 21.5N 57.1W 24.1N 60.0W 26.9N 62.8W 31.0N 63.5W BAMD 22.3N 51.3W 24.9N 53.2W 26.4N 55.7W 26.8N 59.1W BAMM 21.2N 53.6W 23.8N 55.7W 26.1N 58.4W 28.6N 60.7W LBAR 20.5N 51.6W 22.2N 52.4W 22.5N 53.7W 22.1N 55.6W SHIP 28KTS 34KTS 42KTS 42KTS DSHP 28KTS 34KTS 42KTS 42KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 16.0N LONCUR = 49.3W DIRCUR = 345DEG SPDCUR = 7KT LATM12 = 14.0N LONM12 = 49.4W DIRM12 = 339DEG SPDM12 = 3KT LATM24 = 14.2N LONM24 = 47.9W WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 40KT CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 130NM RD34SE = 110NM RD34SW = 30NM RD34NW = 30NM $$ NNNN