000 WHXX01 KWBC 281239 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1239 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE LORENZO (AL132007) 20070928 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070928 1200 070929 0000 070929 1200 070930 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 20.6N 98.0W 20.9N 99.9W 21.6N 102.1W 22.8N 104.0W BAMD 20.6N 98.0W 21.0N 99.5W 21.6N 100.9W 22.6N 102.1W BAMM 20.6N 98.0W 21.0N 99.9W 21.8N 102.0W 23.1N 103.8W LBAR 20.6N 98.0W 21.0N 99.8W 22.2N 101.7W 23.6N 103.4W ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070930 1200 071001 1200 071002 1200 071003 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 24.0N 105.6W 26.3N 109.1W 28.3N 110.2W 29.7N 110.0W BAMD 23.5N 103.1W 23.6N 105.8W 23.2N 108.4W 22.9N 110.1W BAMM 24.5N 105.2W 26.8N 107.7W 28.6N 106.9W 29.1N 105.2W LBAR 25.6N 104.8W 27.5N 106.3W 27.0N 106.7W 24.4N 107.4W ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 20.6N LONCUR = 98.0W DIRCUR = 273DEG SPDCUR = 7KT LATM12 = 20.5N LONM12 = 96.2W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 = 7KT LATM24 = 20.6N LONM24 = 95.1W WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 70KT CENPRS = 1002MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 100NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN 000 WHXX01 KMIA 281239 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1239 UTC FRI SEP 28 2007 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP992007) 20070928 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 070928 1200 070929 0000 070929 1200 070930 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.2N 106.9W 14.5N 108.7W 15.4N 110.6W 16.8N 112.4W BAMD 14.2N 106.9W 14.5N 108.8W 15.4N 111.0W 17.0N 113.1W BAMM 14.2N 106.9W 14.6N 108.8W 15.5N 110.8W 17.1N 112.8W LBAR 14.2N 106.9W 14.4N 108.8W 15.6N 111.3W 17.0N 113.4W SHIP 25KTS 36KTS 51KTS 61KTS DSHP 25KTS 36KTS 51KTS 61KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 070930 1200 071001 1200 071002 1200 071003 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 18.2N 114.4W 21.5N 118.4W 22.9N 121.0W 23.2N 122.1W BAMD 19.2N 115.2W 25.3N 117.5W 29.5N 114.4W 31.6N 108.0W BAMM 18.9N 114.8W 23.4N 118.2W 26.1N 119.2W 27.9N 117.4W LBAR 19.0N 115.5W 23.9N 118.0W 28.1N 116.9W 31.4N 113.3W SHIP 71KTS 65KTS 40KTS 17KTS DSHP 71KTS 65KTS 40KTS 17KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 14.2N LONCUR = 106.9W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 9KT LATM12 = 14.2N LONM12 = 105.1W DIRM12 = 270DEG SPDM12 = 10KT LATM24 = 14.1N LONM24 = 103.1W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 25NM WNDM12 = 20KT CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 125NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN